Scenarios
Real policy decisions.
Real pressure trails.
Each scenario is a live simulation, not a summary. Pull it apart, see who absorbed the pressure and who was relieved, then open it in the analyst view to test your own alternative.
September 2022
The Truss mini-budget
What happens when big unfunded tax cuts collide with a nervous gilt market?
Monetary tightening
Bank Rate at 5%
The Bank of England hikes to fight inflation. Who actually feels it first?
Fiscal transfer
£400 energy support payment
The government sends every household a cheque. Does it actually help?
External shock
Global energy prices double
A war overseas doubles the wholesale gas price. Where does the cost land?
March 2020 style
Emergency QE
The central bank buys £200bn of gilts from the market. Is that free money?
Quantitative tightening
Selling the gilts back
The Bank of England now sells gilts it bought years ago. Who has to buy them?
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